INDIA AT FIFTY

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As a civilisation India is at least five thousand years old; as a sovereign democratic republic it will celebrate its 50th birthday on August 15, 1997. By any standards that was one of the truly historic days in human history. If one day has to be chosen to mark the end of the colonial era that had dominated world affairs for almost five centuries, it would have to be the August 15, 1947. Historically the scope, the ambience, the sheer magnitude of the Indian freedom movement was unique. Its culmination marked the breaching of the citadels of colonialism, and, within 10 years from then, dozens of countries is Asia and Africa become free and the whole process of decolonialisation accelerated.

August 15, 1947 is a critical day also not only because India became free, but because it chose democracy. Many countries in Asia and Africa became free of the colonial yoke, but were not able for one reason or another to tread the democratic path, and went into a negative spiral. Countries with a population of ten million have seen over a million slaughtered in cold blood. Simply becoming free was not enough, it was also necessary to choose democracy. The fact that India chose and for half a century has sustained a democratic system is a major achievement.

There is a great deal wrong with India, but we must put it in its proper perspective and realise that what it has done is something never before attempted in the history of the human race, a massive effort to build for 1/6th humanity a better life through democratic means, with freedom of the press, an independent judiciary, rule of law and representative government based on universal adult suffrage with an electorate larger than the combined total population of the United States and Western Europe.

50 years into independence, however, it is now clear that India is going through a period of tremendous turbulence. The old consensus has broken down and a new equilibrium has not yet emerged. Those institutions which were considered to be the foundations of our democratic polity are under assault, and in several areas - the political, the economic, the social, the field of foreign policy - the time has come when we have to re-examine many of the beliefs upon which our polity was founded, see where we have gone wrong and what needs to be done to set matters right. This is what I will attempt to outline, very briefly, in this article.

To start with the political situation; the growth of political awareness in the last half century has been quite extraordinary. Vast segments of society that were submerged, vast areas that were marginalised, have been drawn into the mainstream of Indian politics.

Today whether it is a hamlet in Bastar in the heart of Madhya Pradesh, a village in windswept Zanskar in Ladakh or an island in Lakshwadeep, the people of India are aware of their rights. They have their demands - they want their roads, their electricity, their schools, their dispensaries, and they are aware of the fact that their vote can make a difference. In the last fifty years almost every political party which functions within the ambit of the Constitution has shared power at the Centre or the States. Transfers of power have been peaceful and based exclusively on election results.

With the decline of the once great Indian National Congress that spearheaded the freedom movement, there has been a substantial fragmentation of the party system. The last time there was a clear majority in the Lok Sabha was in the elections of 1984, when Rajiv Gandhi got a massive majority of over 400 seats in a House of 556 in the aftermath of the brutal assassination of his mother Indira Gandhi. Subsequently, we have had five minority governments in a row. The first was led by V.P. Singh, and supported from outside both the Left Front and the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). This "support from the outside" is a peculiarly Indian contribution to political thought, and almost invariably ends in disaster. In less than eighteen months V. P. Singh's government collapsed, then Chandrasekhar was supported from outside, but his government collapsed within six months.

P. V. Narasimha Rao also began a minority government and started off with only 225 seats. The methodologies involved are sub-judice, but he was able to gain a majority and did carry on the government for 5 years. Then there was Atal Behari Vajpayee heading the BJP which emerged as the largest single party in the 1996 elections, but he was able to continue only for 13 days.

Then we had yet another minority United Front government headed by H.D. Deve Gowda made up of 14 parties, also supported "from the outside" by the Congress, which collapsed in ten months. Now there has been a change of leadership and I.K. Gujral has emerged as the new United Front Prime Minister. Once again the government is based on support from the outside, but it is a matter for some satisfaction that the Government of India is now headed by a man of long political experience in India and abroad, and impeccable personal credentials. It remains to be seen how he will be able to manage the contradictions inherent in the present situation.

Clearly there is an inherent instability built into the present political situation, which to some extent reflects the social fragmentation that India has witnessed since the 'Mandalization' process initiated by V.P. Singh extending affirmative action to yet another category of Hindu society, the "other backward castes".

Coalition is an entirely legitimate form of political organisation known throughout the world, but to be stable a coalition must represent a majority in the lower House. A minority coalition with outside support is not viable, and yet that is what India has been experimenting with over the last decade.

A stable government is necessary for India at this critical juncture in its economic growth and liberalisation process. This will not be a one-party government, but a coalition reflecting the various regional and linguistic groups that between them constitute the vast and varied mosaic that is India. Indeed the Indian National Congress itself was a one-party coalition, representing a broad ideological spectrum from Left to Right.

Ideally, the political situation will achieve coherence if 3 fronts develop; the Left Front (LF) led by the Communist Party of India (Marxist); the Congress United Front (CUF) led by the Indian National Congress and the Janata Dal; and the National Front (NF) led by the Bharatiya Janata Party. Between them these three fronts would cover the entire ideological spectrum, including the various regional parties, and would offer voters viable alternatives in the Centre and the States. This model would give a sense of stability and continuity to Indian politics, so that people get used to the used to the theory of stable coalition governments. So far the very word 'coalition' has unfortunately become coterminous with 'instability'; this will have to change.

One of the main problems in a federal polity is the balance of power between the Centre and the States. Decentralisation of power is essential, but not to the extent that the nation itself starts to fragment. An Inter-State conflict such as the construction of the Almatti Dam in Karnataka, where two constituents of the United Front are locked in a confrontation over river waters, shows clearly that what needs to be done, apart from implementating the recommendations of the Sarkaria Commission on Inter-State Relations, is to reactivate the Inter-State Council which the Constitution has specifically created for just this purpose.

Justice R. S. Sarkaria in his Report released in 1987, created a document of great importance which highlights the distortions that have taken place in our federal structure over the last 50 years, the manner In which the Centre has appropriated powers which really should belong to the States, and the measures that need to be taken to remedy the situation.

The Panchayati Raj Act was probably Rajiv Gandhi's most important achievement, providing as it does for decentralisation through local self-government institutions right down to the village level. If it is implemented with its 1/3 reservations for women, it could have a truly revolutionary impact on Indian society and the empowerment of women.

A great deal has been done in the field of electoral reforms, but much more is needed. For example, 11,105 independents stood for the last elections to Parliament, and there was a ridiculous story on television about a massive ballot book and huge ballot box in one constituency for over a thousand candidates. Legislation needs to be considered whereby, without restricting democratic rights, people who just stand for the sake of standing can be avoided. Also, if we live in a democratic system, why is it that we should not be obliged to vote once every few years? In Australia there is compulsory voting, with one space left blank in case the voter, decides to reject all the candidates. Compulsory voting will reflect a much more accurate portrayal of the will of the people, and there will be less scope for impersonation and electoral malpractice. Everybody talks of rights in India, but hardly anyone mentions responsibilities. If we have rights under a democracy, surely we also have responsibilities, and one of these is to get out there and vote.

There are other areas - partial state financing of elections, regulating the functioning of political parities and so on, which have to be seriously pursued to carry forward the electoral reforms that were initiated over the last few years. Tribute must be paid to the Supreme Court and the Election Commission which between them really tightened up the political system in India, and helped prevent some of the grossest abuses of power.

The sort of corruption, violence and mafia domination developing in many parts of the country are a betrayal of democracy, of the freedom movement, of everything that our Constitution stands for, and the Supreme Court and the Election Commission have rendered signal service to India at this critical juncture, by trying to curb excesses.

What is really needed is leaders with the courage of their convictions; someone who could give the sort of leadership that Roosevelt gave during the depression and the New Deal, or Winston Churchill when Britain was under the most terrible pressure, not to speak of the stalwarts of our own freedom movement such as Sri Aurobindo and Mahatma Gandhi. India has been a civilisation of great people, of great thought, with a philosophy going back to the dawn of history. We must not fall into a negative syndrome nor can we afford the luxury of pessimism and negativism, because if we do India is in fact doomed. The problems are there, but they can be overcome if we can summon up our inner and mobilize our outer resources.

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Let us now turn to economics. Our 'mixed economy' certainly played an important role at one time with State control of the so called 'commanding heights' of the economy. We were able to put considerable resources into infrastructure - communications, steel, railways, heavy industry and so on, which laid the foundations for India's possible economic break through today.

Unfortunately, the system tended to degenerate into statism, red tapism, bureaucracy, unaccountability, inefficiency and corruption. The whole idea of public sector undertakings was to insulate them from political interference and give the managers the opportunity to develop freely. But this was seldom followed, and often there was more political interference in the public sector than even in government departments.

Over the last decade the world has changed rapidly as the Soviet Union imploded and the Communist system collapsed. We, therefore, needed a massive U-turn in our economic policies. Manmohan Singh and P. Chidambaram spearheaded this revolution. It was indeed a revolutionary change in our economic policy - the dismantling of the so called 'licence-permit-raj' and the attempt to liberalise and open up the economy. Already this new policy has made substantial headway, but much will depend on political stability which is a sine qua non for an economic breakthrough. Two further points need to be made. Firstly, although government policy has changed in principle, in its implementation the situation is still not satisfactory. The people who are actually dealing with these problems are still unable to fully grasp the fact that there has been a revolution, and although in theory India is among the most liberal countries in the world, in practice we still tend to be rigid and negative. This will require a change of attitudes both among the politicians and the civil servants.

The second point is that when we talk about liberalisation we simply cannot forget the most vulnerable sections of our society, who have to be lifted out of the morass of poverty and Illiteracy - the rural poor and the poor in the urban slums, particularly women, and children. We cannot take the theoretical view that when we liberalise there is bound to be a temporary dip in living standards, because in India there is no safety net to prevent a free fall to disaster. A temporary dip in living standards in a country where millions still live below the poverty line is unacceptable because then they will simply go under. Therefore we have to work out a methodology whereby, along with liberalisation, we are able to structure an effective safety net.

Some measures have been initiated such as a mid-day school meal which is very valuable because it gets nutrition to each and every child in this country, as also the immunisation programme of eradicating polio and other diseases. We also need to work out some form is social security particularly for the elderly, who are now getting increasingly isolated as the joint family inevitably gives ways to the nuclear family, thus diluting the basic security that was built into our social system. Increasing urbanisation is also having the same effect, because it draws adult males away from the villages into urban slums, creating widespread social and psychological dislocation.

Perhaps our greatest failure in the last 50 years has been our inability to prevent the exponential population growth. When I was Minister of Health & Family Planning a quarter of a century ago, three projections were made for the year 2000. The most optimistic was 900 million and the worst case scenario one billion. It is now clear that we are going to hit the billion mark in the year 2000. With this rate of population growth, to expect the state of the nation to improve, poverty to be alleviated and unemployment to be contained is unrealistic to say the least.

I drafted the National Population Policy which I presented to Parliament in 1976. Unfortunately, that policy came out during the Emergency and therefore, got discredited. Indeed the whole population stabilisation scheme exploded and it became politically so radioactive that till today nobody is prepared to really implement it. All parties make eloquent speeches about breaking the poverty barrier, but they do not spell out how they are going to do this when India is sinking in an ocean of people. In my statement to the World Population Conference in Bucharest in 1974, where I led the Indian delegation, I had said that "development is the best contraceptive", a phrase that was subsequently widely quoted. I have now reversed my view and feel that "contraception is the best development". Unless this matter becomes a national commitment transcending party politics our economic policies will run into great difficulty despite the much welcome liberalisation.

Another negative factor that has gathered momentum over the last few years is the widespread corruption at many levels which has resulted, if we add up the various 'scams' that are now being investigated, to a staggering sum of Rs. 55 billion (one billion equal to 1,000 million) that have been drained off from the economy by a nexus of corrupt politicians, businessmen and bureaucrats. Such a massive haemorrhaging of an economy struggling to gain viability can be fatal. It is a tragedy that a land which produced some of the loftiest religious leaders and philosophical concepts known to humanity, should be mired in a quagmire of corruption and erosion of moral values. This is now no longer a matter simply of personal wrong doing. It has collectively assumed proportion that threatens the very basis of civil society and good governance.

While unprecedented measures have been taken by the courts on the basis of public interest litigations, which include chargesheeting and jailing of a number of high level political figures, the malaise lies deeper in the erosion of a value orientation in our educational system, a collapse of traditional value and the non-emergence of a viable philosophy for the global society. It is true not only of India and other developing countries, but is in fact a worldwide phenomenon. However, developing countries are particularly vulnerable, and the present drift must be a matter of deep concern to all right thinking lndians. Here again it is the leadership that can make all the difference in the years ahead.

India has a unique and complex social structure. Nine of the twelve major world religions flourish here, with vast numbers of sects within them. Hinduism itself, the religion of the vast majority of the people in India, is a pluralistic religion which encourages many paths to the divine. Even before any of the other religions were born, India had evolved different methodologies and pathways to divine realisation. Despite the trauma of Partition of the sub-continent, caused essentially by the separatist ideology of the Muslim League, India has in the last 50 years structured a polity not based on religion but upon freedom and equality of all citizens irrespective of their religious or other background. It is often overlooked that India has more Muslims than either Pakistan or Bangladesh.

In a country which was partitioned on the basis of religion, not only did its constitution makers not react and set up a religious state, they went out of their way to give special protection to minorities, to non-Hindu communities. The Indian Constitution sets up a secular State, and this has been maintained despite all provocations. It is true that secularism has often been misinterpreted as being anti-religious, but that is something India will not accept because it is par excellence a land of religion.

The people of India are deeply religious, whether they are Hindus or Muslims, Sikhs or Christians, Jains or Buddhists. India has a genius for religion, and the definition of secularism that is now getting increasingly accepted is equal respect for all religions, not equal neglect, and certainly not looking down upon or negating our rich religious and spiritual traditions.

These are some of the problems in India's social transformation. Our generation was brought up on Gandhiji's ideal that the goal for free India was a casteless society, but now we find that there has, in fact, been an institutionalisation of caste at many levels. The whole problem of affirmative action apart, even people whose caste identities had diluted, particularly in the cities, are busy looking up their backgrounds to see whether they belong to one or other of the caste formulation which are supposed to get special advantages. Here again India is going through tremendous turmoil and turbulence. The whole social structure is breaking down, the economic profile is changing, and it will be some time before we are able to achieve a new equilibrium. A huge middle class is arising in India which represents a common market of tremendous potential, both for production and consumption of goods and services.

The international situation also has changed beyond recognition over the last half century. India has never been an island unto itself, it has always been the centre of flux, a crossroads of world civilisation. When we became independent the Cold War began, and Prime Minister Jawaharlal Nehru, President Tito of Yugoslavia and President Nasser of Egypt structured the Non-Aligned Movement. It was a valuable movement at the time, but the whole situation has transmuted with the implosion of the Soviet Union. Nonetheless, developing nations can benefit greatly through South-South co-operation which is what NAM should concentrate upon. India also needs to work much harder on SAARC. The European Union has shown what can be achieved by a regional grouping. France, Germany and England were at each other's throats for over 500 years, but one can now travel from Norway to Greece, and from Portugal to Poland, without a passport. If she is to achieve her due place in world affairs, India has also to sort out its regional problems.

A good beginning has been made with the recent agreements concluded with Bangladesh, Nepal and China spearheaded by I.K. Gujral who has recently been elevated to the Prime Ministership. With Pakistan our relationship remains prickly, but the emergence of a stable and more moderate and realistic government there under Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif is a good sign.

The key lies in taking bold steps to liberalise trade, travel and commerce between the two neighbours, leaving the more contentious issues to be sorted out in due course in terms of the Shimla Agreement. We cannot look upon any country permanently as an enemy, nor will Pakistan gain by an attitude of permanent confrontation with its immediate neighbour. India and Pakistan between them have over a billion people, but tens of thousands of villages remain without potable water because scarce resources are spent on an arms race. The ASEAN countries were far behind India when we became independent, but today they are ahead of India in their economic development. We must try and develop SAARC on the same lines if we are to flourish in the highly competitive global economy that is rapidly emerging. This point has been effectively underscored by Mahbub-ul-Haq in his latest report Human Development in South Asia 1997 where he describes South Asia as '"The most deprived region in the world".

To conclude, we are passing through a very turbulent phase. It is like the samudra manthan - the churning of the milky ocean - in the ancient Hindu myth. When the ocean was churned, many gifts emerged, but before the ambrosia was finally attained a terrible poison was unleashed and threatened to spread throughout the three worlds.

The devas and the asuras who were churning the ocean, fled in terror until Lord Shiva, who is beyond avarice and greed, appeared and absorbed the poison into His own being.

Today, along with all the gifts of science and technology, a poison is also being released in human civilisation, the poison of fanaticism, and fundamentalism, organized crime and terrorism, rampant violence and pandemic sexually transmitted diseases. In a democratic system each one of us has to absorb the poison in the crucible of our inner consciousness and, through our own commitment, convert it into ambrosia and give it back to society.

This is a difficult and a dangerous path, beset with dangers. But as that famous verse from the Katha Upanishad exhorts us, we must awake, arise and move across the razor-edged path to the goal which we have set for ourselves, the goal of a regenerated India in a dynamic global society. Humanity itself is at cross-road and a new kind of consciousness is evolving on this planet. India has to spearhead the transition to the new consciousness. That is her true role, her next tryst with destiny.

New Delhi
1 May 1997

There is a great deal wrong with India, but we must put it in its proper perspective and realise that what it has done is something never before attempted in the history of the human race, a massive effort to build for 1/6th humanity a better life through democratic means, with freedom of the press, an independent judiciary, rule of law and representative government based on universal adult suffrage with an electorate larger than the combined total population of the United States and Western Europe.

50 years into independence, however, it is now clear that India is going through a period of tremendous turbulence. The old consensus has broken down and a new equilibrium has not yet emerged. Those institutions which were considered to be the foundations of our democratic polity are under assault, and in several areas - the political, the economic, the social, the field of foreign policy - the time has come when we have to re-examine many of the beliefs upon which our polity was founded, see where we have gone wrong and what needs to be done to set matters right. This is what I will attempt to outline, very briefly, in this article.

To start with the political situation; the growth of political awareness in the last half century has been quite extraordinary. Vast segments of society that were submerged, vast areas that were marginalised, have been drawn into the mainstream of Indian politics.

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